This price has not changed since 2026-08-11 01:12 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 40.0–42.0 keys, last changed 2024-09-16 (2.1y ago). The live quote above, 19.7 keys, is 51% lower and last moved 2mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $127.21 — the lowest of one listing for the Festive Lights effect when we looked on 2026-10-13 01:37 UTC (6h ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 19 keys, 43 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual A Hat to Kill For”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 42.8 keys | 32.5 keys |
| 30 SEP 2025 · 21:29 UTC | 42.7 keys | 32.5 keys |
| 9 OCT 2025 · 09:10 UTC | 40.8 keys | 34.2 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 20:58 UTC | 38.8 keys | 32.5 keys |
| 25 OCT 2025 · 17:21 UTC | 37.0 keys | 31.0 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 01:22 UTC | 37.9 keys | 31.8 keys |
| 22 JUN 2026 · 17:13 UTC | 18.0 keys | 15.7 keys |
| 30 JUN 2026 · 15:13 UTC | 18.7 keys | 16.3 keys |
| 9 JUL 2026 · 12:44 UTC | 17.7 keys | 15.4 keys |
| 21 JUL 2026 · 14:44 UTC | 26.9 keys | 23.4 keys |
| 27 JUL 2026 · 04:45 UTC | 19.7 keys | 17.2 keys |
| 11 AUG 2026 · 01:12 UTC | 19.7 keys | 17.2 keys |
Price history in numbers
12 readings since 25 Sep 2025The price has not been re-read inside the last 30 days. Over a year it ranged from 17.7 keys to 38.8 keys (down 49.4%). Today's 19.7 keys sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 17.7 keys (9 Jul 2026) and the highest 42.8 keys (25 Sep 2025). The price has moved 11 times since we began recording it — about once every 29 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | 19.7 keys | 26.9 keys | −26.9% | 2 | 3 |
| a year | 17.7 keys | 38.8 keys | −49.4% | 8 | 9 |
Details
| SKU | 30753;5;u223 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-08-11 01:12 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 64.33 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 1,501 keys | 6mo ago | |
| 175 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 147 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 149 keys | 12d ago | |
| 118 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 95.0 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 88.0 keys | 12d ago | |
| 75.0 keys | 12d ago | |
| 71.6 keys | 15d ago | |
| 69.2 keys | 12d ago |
Other effects on the A Hat to Kill For
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 340 keys | 13d ago | |
| 259 keys | 13d ago | |
| 206 keys | 10mo ago | |
| 203 keys | 4mo ago | |
| 200 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 195 keys | 13d ago | |
| 190 keys | 2mo ago | |
| 193 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 182 keys | 13d ago | |
| 182 keys | 12d ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0 keys | 13d ago | |
| 19.7 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 19.7 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 20.1 keys | 12d ago | |
| 19.7 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 20.3 keys | 11d ago | |
| 19.6 keys | 15d ago | |
| 19.7 keys | 2mo ago |