Community price on backpack.tf: 200–210 keys, last changed 2024-08-11 (2.2y ago). The live quote above, 187 keys, is 7% lower and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $681.03 — the lowest of one listing for the Burning Flames effect when we looked on 2026-10-13 01:36 UTC (6h ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 186 keys, 59.55 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Cotton Head”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
97 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Burning Flames Cotton Head sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-09: 97 observations, from 213 keys to 192 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
213 keys
166 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 08:43 UTC
204 keys
175 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 00:53 UTC
196 keys
168 keys
11 DEC 2025 · 06:50 UTC
222 keys
171 keys
29 DEC 2025 · 02:52 UTC
204 keys
170 keys
11 JAN 2026 · 01:36 UTC
184 keys
154 keys
1 FEB 2026 · 23:44 UTC
171 keys
137 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 10:40 UTC
173 keys
130 keys
5 APR 2026 · 12:29 UTC
182 keys
116 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:30 UTC
199 keys
14.4 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
168 keys
146 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
186 keys
162 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC
186 keys
162 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
177 keys
154 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
177 keys
154 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
181 keys
157 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 16:08 UTC
174 keys
151 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC
184 keys
160 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 22:11 UTC
184 keys
160 keys
7 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
187 keys
163 keys
8 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
185 keys
161 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC
185 keys
161 keys
18 SEP 2026 · 16:07 UTC
187 keys
162 keys
19 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
189 keys
164 keys
20 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
188 keys
164 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
189 keys
165 keys
23 SEP 2026 · 10:07 UTC
189 keys
164 keys
24 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
190 keys
165 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 22:09 UTC
190 keys
165 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC
187 keys
163 keys
28 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
192 keys
167 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
189 keys
165 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 00:09 UTC
188 keys
163 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 02:08 UTC
186 keys
162 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 15:10 UTC
191 keys
166 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 19:09 UTC
192 keys
167 keys
6 OCT 2026 · 07:09 UTC
191 keys
166 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 07:09 UTC
191 keys
166 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 19:09 UTC
192 keys
167 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC
192 keys
167 keys
Price history in numbers
97 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Burning Flames Cotton Head's sell price ranged from 186 keys to 192 keys and is up 2.8% after 43 moves. Over a year it ranged from 165 keys to 222 keys (down 0.8%). Today's 192 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 165 keys (21 Aug 2026) and the highest 222 keys (11 Dec 2025). The price has moved 96 times since we began recording it — about once every 4 days.