Community price on backpack.tf: 17.0 keys, last changed 2020-07-07 (6.3y ago). The live quote above, 15.2 keys, is 11% lower and last moved 15d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read 1h ago.
Steam Market asking price: $50.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Bubbling effect when we looked on 2026-10-11 01:34 UTC (2d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 15 keys, 12 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Federal Casemaker”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
63 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Bubbling Federal Casemaker sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-05: 63 observations, from 16.8 keys to 15.7 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
16.8 keys
13.7 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 08:37 UTC
16.1 keys
14.4 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 20:24 UTC
15.3 keys
13.7 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 00:46 UTC
15.4 keys
13.8 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 22:42 UTC
19.1 keys
12.9 keys
24 DEC 2025 · 11:10 UTC
21.4 keys
16.3 keys
4 JAN 2026 · 08:46 UTC
20.0 keys
15.7 keys
11 JAN 2026 · 21:33 UTC
18.3 keys
13.9 keys
29 JAN 2026 · 03:43 UTC
17.6 keys
13.7 keys
1 FEB 2026 · 15:42 UTC
16.8 keys
13.2 keys
15 FEB 2026 · 22:40 UTC
17.3 keys
13.8 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 00:41 UTC
16.2 keys
12.6 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 18:42 UTC
15.9 keys
9.20 keys
26 MAR 2026 · 20:07 UTC
16.9 keys
10.6 keys
1 APR 2026 · 00:30 UTC
17.3 keys
10.1 keys
19 APR 2026 · 22:30 UTC
17.1 keys
10.9 keys
29 APR 2026 · 18:29 UTC
16.3 keys
10.3 keys
10 MAY 2026 · 20:32 UTC
17.0 keys
12.7 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 10:30 UTC
16.4 keys
12.6 keys
1 JUN 2026 · 04:30 UTC
16.6 keys
12.9 keys
16 JUN 2026 · 04:11 UTC
16.3 keys
12.7 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 00:10 UTC
16.8 keys
12.9 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 19:12 UTC
12.1 keys
10.6 keys
26 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
11.4 keys
9.91 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 02:24 UTC
12.5 keys
10.9 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 04:07 UTC
11.6 keys
10.1 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
8.19 keys
7.12 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
15.1 keys
13.2 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
15.4 keys
13.4 keys
8 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC
15.0 keys
13.0 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
14.9 keys
13.0 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
14.6 keys
12.6 keys
14 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
14.9 keys
13.0 keys
26 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
15.1 keys
13.1 keys
26 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
15.0 keys
13.1 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC
15.2 keys
13.2 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 09:09 UTC
14.8 keys
12.9 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 09:09 UTC
15.0 keys
13.1 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 21:10 UTC
15.3 keys
13.3 keys
5 OCT 2026 · 01:09 UTC
15.7 keys
13.6 keys
Price history in numbers
63 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Bubbling Federal Casemaker's sell price ranged from 14.8 keys to 15.7 keys and is up 5.8% after 12 moves. Over a year it ranged from 7.56 keys to 21.4 keys (up 2.7%). Today's 15.7 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 7.56 keys (15 Jul 2026) and the highest 21.4 keys (24 Dec 2025). The price has moved 62 times since we began recording it — about once every 6 days.