Community price on backpack.tf: 54.0 keys, last changed 2026-02-01 (8mo ago). The live quote above, 45.6 keys, is 16% lower and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $140.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Fireflies effect when we looked on 2026-10-06 01:34 UTC (7d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 45 keys, 37.33 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Flame Warrior”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
64 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Fireflies Flame Warrior sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-07: 64 observations, from 60.1 keys to 46.7 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
60.1 keys
33.3 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 10:29 UTC
58.3 keys
35.0 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 22:28 UTC
55.5 keys
33.3 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 02:34 UTC
54.2 keys
32.6 keys
23 JUN 2026 · 07:14 UTC
35.5 keys
30.9 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 14:44 UTC
31.4 keys
27.3 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 02:45 UTC
39.2 keys
34.1 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 15:12 UTC
42.2 keys
36.6 keys
20 AUG 2026 · 20:08 UTC
37.0 keys
32.2 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
42.0 keys
36.6 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
41.3 keys
35.9 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC
41.5 keys
36.1 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
41.7 keys
36.2 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
42.0 keys
36.5 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
42.4 keys
36.9 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
36.3 keys
31.6 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
38.7 keys
33.6 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 06:09 UTC
41.4 keys
36.0 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 12:08 UTC
42.5 keys
36.9 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
42.6 keys
37.0 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 20:11 UTC
41.1 keys
35.7 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 03:05 UTC
41.2 keys
35.8 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
39.7 keys
34.6 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 04:10 UTC
39.7 keys
34.5 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 20:10 UTC
42.3 keys
36.8 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
42.9 keys
37.3 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC
39.3 keys
34.2 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 14:09 UTC
41.7 keys
36.2 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC
40.6 keys
35.3 keys
9 SEP 2026 · 16:10 UTC
40.3 keys
35.0 keys
9 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
42.0 keys
36.5 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC
42.2 keys
36.7 keys
14 SEP 2026 · 16:08 UTC
41.7 keys
36.3 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC
42.6 keys
37.0 keys
20 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC
43.0 keys
37.4 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 14:10 UTC
43.4 keys
37.7 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC
43.7 keys
38.0 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC
47.5 keys
41.3 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
45.6 keys
39.6 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 15:10 UTC
46.7 keys
40.6 keys
Price history in numbers
64 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Fireflies Flame Warrior's sell price ranged from 41.7 keys to 47.5 keys and is up 9.4% after 12 moves. Over a year it ranged from 28.5 keys to 55.5 keys (down 15.9%). Today's 46.7 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 28.5 keys (1 Jul 2026) and the highest 61.1 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 63 times since we began recording it — about once every 6 days.