Community price on backpack.tf: 8.00–8.50 keys, last changed 2025-02-02 (1.7y ago). The live quote above, 14.0 keys, is 75% higher and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $47.81 — the lowest of one listing for the Hard Carry effect when we looked on 2026-10-06 01:38 UTC (7d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 13 keys, 61.22 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Head Hedge”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
65 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Hard Carry Head Hedge sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-08: 65 observations, from 8.61 keys to 14.4 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
8.61 keys
6.63 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 09:45 UTC
8.21 keys
6.97 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:37 UTC
7.83 keys
6.64 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 01:50 UTC
7.65 keys
6.48 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 17:12 UTC
10.3 keys
9.01 keys
4 JUL 2026 · 23:11 UTC
10.1 keys
8.74 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
9.31 keys
8.10 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 00:45 UTC
9.44 keys
8.22 keys
10 AUG 2026 · 01:11 UTC
10.7 keys
9.30 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 16:08 UTC
10.3 keys
8.95 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.02 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
10.3 keys
8.92 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
10.1 keys
8.80 keys
24 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
10.2 keys
8.90 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.01 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.04 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC
10.3 keys
8.94 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
10.3 keys
8.99 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
9.67 keys
8.41 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC
9.72 keys
8.45 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 02:10 UTC
9.83 keys
8.55 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
9.90 keys
8.61 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC
9.83 keys
8.55 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC
9.83 keys
8.55 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 03:04 UTC
9.80 keys
8.52 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC
9.83 keys
8.55 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
9.95 keys
8.65 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
10.0 keys
8.72 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 02:10 UTC
9.85 keys
8.57 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
9.94 keys
8.65 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
9.81 keys
8.53 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC
9.87 keys
8.59 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
9.81 keys
8.52 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 14:09 UTC
9.81 keys
8.53 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
14.1 keys
12.3 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 08:10 UTC
13.8 keys
12.0 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
13.9 keys
12.1 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
14.0 keys
12.2 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 08:09 UTC
14.0 keys
12.1 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 23:10 UTC
14.4 keys
12.5 keys
Price history in numbers
65 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Hard Carry Head Hedge's sell price ranged from 13.8 keys to 14.4 keys and is up 3.8% after 6 moves. Over a year it ranged from 7.48 keys to 14.4 keys (up 83.4%). Today's 14.4 keys sits at the top of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 7.48 keys (25 Oct 2025) and the highest 14.4 keys (8 Oct 2026). The price has moved 64 times since we began recording it — about once every 6 days.