Community price on backpack.tf: 40.0–50.0 keys, last changed 2024-03-07 (2.6y ago). The live quote above, 47.0 keys, is inside the community’s range and last moved 11d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read 1h ago.
Steam Market asking price: $218.82 — the lowest of one listing for the Orbiting Fire effect when we looked on 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC (6h ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 47 keys, 1.22 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Killer Exclusive”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
129 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Orbiting Fire Killer Exclusive sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-12: 129 observations, from 50.9 keys to 48.2 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
50.9 keys
33.2 keys
12 OCT 2025 · 22:53 UTC
44.5 keys
35.1 keys
9 NOV 2025 · 22:26 UTC
40.8 keys
33.9 keys
1 DEC 2025 · 00:47 UTC
42.9 keys
37.2 keys
22 DEC 2025 · 01:04 UTC
45.1 keys
39.0 keys
11 JAN 2026 · 21:30 UTC
38.7 keys
33.5 keys
9 FEB 2026 · 04:40 UTC
35.1 keys
32.5 keys
1 MAR 2026 · 00:40 UTC
34.4 keys
18.0 keys
22 MAR 2026 · 22:05 UTC
36.4 keys
12.9 keys
29 APR 2026 · 00:29 UTC
35.5 keys
20.2 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 22:30 UTC
40.3 keys
32.4 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:30 UTC
40.1 keys
31.3 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 01:14 UTC
40.1 keys
34.9 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 00:45 UTC
43.0 keys
37.4 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 10:08 UTC
40.6 keys
35.3 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 16:08 UTC
40.6 keys
35.3 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 10:08 UTC
42.3 keys
36.8 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 10:08 UTC
42.7 keys
37.1 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 22:08 UTC
43.2 keys
37.6 keys
25 AUG 2026 · 00:08 UTC
44.0 keys
38.3 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 00:08 UTC
45.3 keys
39.4 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 12:07 UTC
45.5 keys
39.6 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
45.6 keys
39.7 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
45.7 keys
39.7 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
44.4 keys
38.7 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC
45.2 keys
39.3 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
44.7 keys
38.8 keys
8 SEP 2026 · 00:07 UTC
45.3 keys
39.4 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
45.5 keys
39.6 keys
14 SEP 2026 · 20:07 UTC
46.0 keys
40.0 keys
17 SEP 2026 · 12:07 UTC
46.5 keys
40.4 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
46.7 keys
40.6 keys
24 SEP 2026 · 08:07 UTC
47.1 keys
41.0 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
47.3 keys
41.2 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 22:07 UTC
47.9 keys
41.7 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
47.7 keys
41.5 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 22:09 UTC
47.3 keys
41.1 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 11:10 UTC
47.0 keys
40.9 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 11:08 UTC
48.3 keys
42.0 keys
12 OCT 2026 · 07:08 UTC
48.2 keys
41.9 keys
Price history in numbers
129 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Orbiting Fire Killer Exclusive's sell price ranged from 45.7 keys to 48.4 keys and is up 5.5% after 34 moves. Over a year it ranged from 33.5 keys to 48.4 keys (up 14.6%). Today's 48.2 keys sits in the upper third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 33.5 keys (8 Mar 2026) and the highest 50.9 keys (25 Sep 2025). The price has moved 128 times since we began recording it — about once every 3 days.
Vintage Bill's Hat