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Festive Falling Star Nightcap

✦ Festive Falling StarUnusual11d ago
Sell price
10 keys, 8.88 ref
Buy price
8 keys, 52.33 ref
In keys
10.1 keys
In USD
$22.21 at the Steam key rate
Steam Market asking price
$28.10 asking, not sold · 2 listed

Community price on backpack.tf: 9.00–13.0 keys, last changed 2025-02-14 (1.7y ago). The live quote above, 10.1 keys, is inside the community’s range and last moved 11d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.

Steam Market asking price: $28.10 — the lowest of 2 listings for the Festive Falling Star effect when we looked on 2026-10-07 01:51 UTC (6d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 8.88 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Nightcap”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.

Price history

127 observations

Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.

The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.

Festive Falling Star Nightcap sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-13: 127 observations, from 13.3 keys to 10.1 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)SellBuy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC13.3 keys7.56 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:36 UTC12.7 keys8.98 keys
9 NOV 2025 · 22:31 UTC11.7 keys8.78 keys
11 DEC 2025 · 11:03 UTC10.9 keys8.87 keys
29 DEC 2025 · 00:59 UTC10.0 keys8.01 keys
22 JAN 2026 · 01:46 UTC9.24 keys8.80 keys
12 FEB 2026 · 12:42 UTC8.28 keys6.93 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 20:44 UTC8.57 keys7.73 keys
1 APR 2026 · 00:31 UTC11.0 keys8.83 keys
26 APR 2026 · 22:34 UTC9.84 keys8.45 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 22:33 UTC9.98 keys8.21 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 02:13 UTC9.43 keys7.67 keys
11 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC8.29 keys7.21 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 15:12 UTC10.1 keys8.81 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 12:08 UTC8.76 keys7.62 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC9.11 keys7.92 keys
27 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC9.03 keys7.85 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC9.53 keys8.29 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 04:09 UTC8.92 keys7.76 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC8.83 keys7.68 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC8.81 keys7.66 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC8.95 keys7.79 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 18:10 UTC8.71 keys7.57 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC8.46 keys7.35 keys
13 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC8.25 keys7.17 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC10.4 keys9.06 keys
20 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC10.0 keys8.72 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 10:09 UTC10.3 keys8.97 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 22:09 UTC10.2 keys8.84 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC10.2 keys8.90 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 20:08 UTC10.1 keys8.84 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 15:10 UTC10.5 keys9.12 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 03:09 UTC10.1 keys8.80 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 13:14 UTC10.5 keys9.16 keys
5 OCT 2026 · 01:09 UTC10.2 keys8.89 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 23:11 UTC10.3 keys8.98 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 11:09 UTC10.2 keys8.84 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 21:10 UTC10.0 keys8.73 keys
12 OCT 2026 · 07:08 UTC10.1 keys8.78 keys
13 OCT 2026 · 03:09 UTC10.1 keys8.80 keys

Price history in numbers

127 readings since 25 Sep 2025

Over the last 30 days the Festive Falling Star Nightcap's sell price ranged from 9.68 keys to 10.6 keys and is down 1.8% after 45 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.15 keys to 14.0 keys (down 20.6%). Today's 10.1 keys sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.15 keys (29 Jul 2026) and the highest 14.9 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 123 times since we began recording it — about once every 3 days.

WindowLowHighChangeMovesReadings
30 days9.68 keys10.6 keys−1.8%4548
90 days8.15 keys11.4 keys+7.4%8387
a year8.15 keys14.0 keys−20.6%120124

Details

SKU31422;5;u321
Last price change2026-10-01 20:08 UTC
Key rate when recorded62.33 ref

Same effect, other items

the effect across the catalogue

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across the catalogue