Community price on backpack.tf: 18.0 keys, last changed 2024-03-22 (2.6y ago). The live quote above, 10.0 keys, is 44% lower and last moved 13d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $40.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Orbiting Fire effect when we looked on 2026-10-07 01:51 UTC (6d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 1.44 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Nightcap”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
96 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Orbiting Fire Nightcap sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-12: 96 observations, from 18.2 keys to 8.37 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
18.2 keys
15.0 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 10:31 UTC
17.5 keys
15.7 keys
10 NOV 2025 · 02:36 UTC
16.7 keys
15.0 keys
23 NOV 2025 · 22:54 UTC
13.7 keys
8.65 keys
17 DEC 2025 · 11:01 UTC
12.4 keys
9.46 keys
30 DEC 2025 · 02:59 UTC
11.5 keys
7.38 keys
22 APR 2026 · 14:31 UTC
11.0 keys
7.92 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 18:33 UTC
10.4 keys
6.95 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 20:35 UTC
10.9 keys
8.62 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
10.9 keys
7.34 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 17:13 UTC
9.41 keys
8.17 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
9.34 keys
8.12 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 04:46 UTC
10.1 keys
8.74 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
9.69 keys
8.43 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.03 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
11.2 keys
9.74 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 00:09 UTC
10.1 keys
8.75 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC
10.7 keys
9.31 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
10.5 keys
9.08 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC
10.9 keys
9.49 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
10.7 keys
9.33 keys
8 SEP 2026 · 08:09 UTC
9.96 keys
8.68 keys
9 SEP 2026 · 16:10 UTC
9.83 keys
8.54 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
9.95 keys
8.67 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
10.2 keys
8.89 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.04 keys
11 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.07 keys
13 SEP 2026 · 10:09 UTC
10.3 keys
8.94 keys
15 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
9.85 keys
8.56 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
9.95 keys
8.65 keys
24 SEP 2026 · 16:09 UTC
10.5 keys
9.12 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
10.2 keys
8.91 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
10.6 keys
9.23 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 16:08 UTC
11.0 keys
9.60 keys
28 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
10.2 keys
8.91 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
10.3 keys
8.95 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC
10.1 keys
8.77 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
10.0 keys
8.73 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC
9.96 keys
8.66 keys
12 OCT 2026 · 07:08 UTC
8.37 keys
7.28 keys
Price history in numbers
96 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Orbiting Fire Nightcap's sell price ranged from 8.37 keys to 11.1 keys and is down 18.5% after 29 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.37 keys to 16.7 keys (down 49.6%). Today's 8.37 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.37 keys (12 Oct 2026) and the highest 18.3 keys (30 Sep 2025). The price has moved 95 times since we began recording it — about once every 4 days.
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