Community price on backpack.tf: 10.0 keys, last changed 2022-11-19 (3.9y ago). The live quote above, 10.6 keys, is 6% higher and last moved 16d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $29.78 — the lowest of one listing for the Bubbling effect when we looked on 2026-10-06 01:33 UTC (7d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 40.11 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Polar Bear”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
44 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Bubbling Polar Bear sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-09: 44 observations, from 9.90 keys to 10.7 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
9.90 keys
8.10 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 21:59 UTC
9.88 keys
8.09 keys
9 OCT 2025 · 09:36 UTC
9.45 keys
8.51 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 21:27 UTC
8.99 keys
8.09 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 17:44 UTC
8.56 keys
7.70 keys
10 JAN 2026 · 19:44 UTC
8.16 keys
6.53 keys
27 MAR 2026 · 06:07 UTC
8.92 keys
5.95 keys
9 APR 2026 · 10:29 UTC
10.6 keys
5.69 keys
19 APR 2026 · 14:30 UTC
8.95 keys
7.24 keys
30 APR 2026 · 08:29 UTC
8.53 keys
6.87 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 16:33 UTC
8.89 keys
7.26 keys
16 MAY 2026 · 10:31 UTC
8.84 keys
7.17 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:31 UTC
8.81 keys
7.32 keys
1 JUN 2026 · 00:30 UTC
10.7 keys
7.56 keys
8 JUN 2026 · 00:32 UTC
10.5 keys
7.07 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 19:12 UTC
8.65 keys
7.53 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 23:12 UTC
9.41 keys
8.18 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 18:45 UTC
9.45 keys
8.22 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
9.59 keys
8.36 keys
29 JUL 2026 · 00:45 UTC
10.2 keys
8.87 keys
3 AUG 2026 · 00:24 UTC
10.6 keys
9.21 keys
10 AUG 2026 · 07:11 UTC
10.6 keys
9.30 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.50 keys
8.26 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 12:08 UTC
9.54 keys
8.30 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 14:08 UTC
9.65 keys
8.39 keys
21 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.67 keys
8.41 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC
9.68 keys
8.42 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 06:08 UTC
9.68 keys
8.42 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 08:08 UTC
9.68 keys
8.42 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
9.68 keys
8.42 keys
22 AUG 2026 · 22:09 UTC
9.50 keys
8.26 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 12:07 UTC
9.99 keys
8.69 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC
9.83 keys
8.56 keys
11 SEP 2026 · 20:10 UTC
10.2 keys
8.83 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 08:10 UTC
10.3 keys
8.94 keys
22 SEP 2026 · 08:09 UTC
10.0 keys
8.74 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC
10.6 keys
9.24 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 13:12 UTC
10.4 keys
9.07 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 09:09 UTC
10.6 keys
9.26 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC
10.7 keys
9.29 keys
Price history in numbers
44 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Bubbling Polar Bear's sell price ranged from 10.0 keys to 10.7 keys and is up 3.5% after 5 moves. Over a year it ranged from 8.16 keys to 10.7 keys (up 18.9%). Today's 10.7 keys sits at the top of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 8.16 keys (10 Jan 2026) and the highest 10.7 keys (1 Jun 2026). The price has moved 43 times since we began recording it — about once every 9 days.
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