Community price on backpack.tf: 4.11–4.77 ref, last changed 2026-04-30 (5mo ago). The live quote above, 5.11 ref, is 24% higher and last moved 11d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
3 sold on the Steam Community Market in the 24 hours to 2026-10-07 03:54 UTC (6d ago), listed there as “Strange Poncho del Pesado”. That is a different market from the prices above: Steam takes roughly 15% and pays out in Steam wallet funds rather than cash, so its prices sit above what an item realises elsewhere. Volume is unavailable for unusuals — Steam’s name for one leaves out the effect, so every effect shares a single listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 24 OCT 2025 · 03:34 UTC | 8.77 ref | 7.22 ref |
| 30 DEC 2025 · 14:57 UTC | 6 ref | 3.22 ref |
| 22 FEB 2026 · 22:42 UTC | 4 ref | 3.33 ref |
| 3 MAY 2026 · 18:33 UTC | 5.11 ref | 4.11 ref |
| 29 JUN 2026 · 03:14 UTC | 5 ref | 4.33 ref |
| 21 AUG 2026 · 20:09 UTC | 4.11 ref | 3.44 ref |
| 24 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC | 3.55 ref | 3.22 ref |
| 25 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC | 4.11 ref | 3.66 ref |
| 26 AUG 2026 · 16:09 UTC | 4.11 ref | 3.55 ref |
| 30 AUG 2026 · 16:08 UTC | 4.33 ref | 3.77 ref |
| 1 SEP 2026 · 16:09 UTC | 4.33 ref | 3.77 ref |
| 5 SEP 2026 · 18:09 UTC | 4 ref | 3.44 ref |
| 7 SEP 2026 · 18:08 UTC | 14.44 ref | 4.66 ref |
| 9 SEP 2026 · 10:09 UTC | 4 ref | 3.44 ref |
| 11 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC | 4.22 ref | 3.66 ref |
| 13 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC | 8.66 ref | 4.33 ref |
| 14 SEP 2026 · 18:08 UTC | 7.77 ref | 4.22 ref |
| 16 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC | 17.66 ref | 5.66 ref |
| 17 SEP 2026 · 08:09 UTC | 14 ref | 7 ref |
| 18 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC | 7.66 ref | 4.22 ref |
| 20 SEP 2026 · 00:10 UTC | 8.44 ref | 5.55 ref |
| 21 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC | 8.22 ref | 7.77 ref |
| 22 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC | 7.66 ref | 5.22 ref |
| 23 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC | 8.22 ref | 5.22 ref |
| 24 SEP 2026 · 06:09 UTC | 7.88 ref | 4.33 ref |
| 25 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC | 8 ref | 4.88 ref |
| 26 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC | 7.33 ref | 4.11 ref |
| 28 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC | 7.11 ref | 5.11 ref |
| 29 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC | 5.33 ref | 4 ref |
| 30 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC | 4.66 ref | 4.33 ref |
| 2 OCT 2026 · 04:09 UTC | 5.11 ref | 4.44 ref |
| 3 OCT 2026 · 17:10 UTC | 5.11 ref | 4.55 ref |
| 4 OCT 2026 · 21:09 UTC | 5.33 ref | 2.88 ref |
| 6 OCT 2026 · 05:09 UTC | 5.77 ref | 5.22 ref |
| 8 OCT 2026 · 01:10 UTC | 8.55 ref | 5.22 ref |
| 9 OCT 2026 · 01:09 UTC | 7.77 ref | 5.44 ref |
| 10 OCT 2026 · 01:10 UTC | 7.77 ref | 5.44 ref |
| 11 OCT 2026 · 01:10 UTC | 8.22 ref | 7.44 ref |
| 12 OCT 2026 · 05:09 UTC | 7.33 ref | 6.11 ref |
| 13 OCT 2026 · 03:09 UTC | 5.55 ref | 4.88 ref |
Price history in numbers
320 readings since 24 Oct 2025Over the last 30 days the Strange Poncho del Pesado's sell price ranged from 4.55 ref to 17.88 ref and is down 35.9% after 152 moves. Over a year it ranged from 3.55 ref to 17.88 ref (down 36.7%). Today's 5.55 ref sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 3.55 ref (24 Aug 2026) and the highest 17.88 ref (15 Sep 2026). The price has moved 250 times since we began recording it — about once every day.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 4.55 ref | 17.88 ref | −35.9% | 152 | 197 |
| 90 days | 3.55 ref | 17.88 ref | +6.4% | 216 | 284 |
| a year | 3.55 ref | 17.88 ref | −36.7% | 250 | 320 |
Details
| SKU | 31554;11 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-10-02 00:09 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 62.89 ref |
Priced similarly
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|---|---|---|
 Face Lift | 5.11 ref | 11d ago |
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 Strange Two Punch Mann | 5 ref | 12d ago |
 Genuine Pounding Father | 5 ref | 12d ago |
 Genuine First American | 5 ref | 11d ago |
 Genuine Sydney Straw Boat | 5.22 ref | 11d ago |
 Strange Make Ogre | 5 ref | 11d ago |