Community price on backpack.tf: 1.44–1.66 ref, last changed 2026-05-30 (4mo ago). The live quote above, 5.11 ref, is 254% higher and last moved 20d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
409 sold on the Steam Community Market in the 24 hours to 2026-10-13 03:55 UTC (3h ago), 3,402 over the last 7 days, listed there as “Rainy Day Cosmetic Case”. That is a different market from the prices above: Steam takes roughly 15% and pays out in Steam wallet funds rather than cash, so its prices sit above what an item realises elsewhere. Volume is unavailable for unusuals — Steam’s name for one leaves out the effect, so every effect shares a single listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 2.11 ref | 2 ref |
| 8 OCT 2025 · 06:15 UTC | 2.22 ref | 2.11 ref |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 06:59 UTC | 2.55 ref | 2.44 ref |
| 12 JAN 2026 · 11:52 UTC | 2.22 ref | 1.22 ref |
| 18 JAN 2026 · 13:02 UTC | 2.22 ref | 1.22 ref |
| 2 FEB 2026 · 10:17 UTC | 2.22 ref | 1.22 ref |
| 9 MAR 2026 · 12:03 UTC | 2.22 ref | 1.22 ref |
| 30 MAR 2026 · 08:26 UTC | 2.22 ref | 1.22 ref |
| 20 JUL 2026 · 18:44 UTC | 2.22 ref | 2.11 ref |
| 28 JUL 2026 · 08:45 UTC | 2.33 ref | 2.11 ref |
| 7 AUG 2026 · 13:13 UTC | 4 ref | 2.66 ref |
| 19 AUG 2026 · 12:09 UTC | 4 ref | 3.77 ref |
| 26 AUG 2026 · 02:09 UTC | 5 ref | 4.11 ref |
| 4 SEP 2026 · 02:08 UTC | 4.33 ref | 4.11 ref |
| 16 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC | 5.22 ref | 4.77 ref |
| 23 SEP 2026 · 08:11 UTC | 5.11 ref | 4.77 ref |
| 2 OCT 2026 · 09:10 UTC | 5.11 ref | 4.77 ref |
| 11 OCT 2026 · 23:09 UTC | 5 ref | 4 ref |
Price history in numbers
18 readings since 25 Sep 2025Over the last 30 days the Rainy Day Cosmetic Case's sell price ranged from 5 ref to 5.22 ref and is down 4.3% after 2 moves. Over a year it ranged from 2.22 ref to 5.22 ref (up 95.7%). Today's 5 ref sits in the upper third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 2.11 ref (25 Sep 2025) and the highest 5.22 ref (16 Sep 2026). The price has moved 10 times since we began recording it — about once every 38 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 5 ref | 5.22 ref | −4.3% | 2 | 4 |
| 90 days | 2.22 ref | 5.22 ref | +125.0% | 7 | 10 |
| a year | 2.22 ref | 5.22 ref | +95.7% | 8 | 16 |
Details
| SKU | 5867;6;c106 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-09-23 08:11 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 63.78 ref |
Priced similarly
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|---|---|---|
 Face Lift | 5.11 ref | 11d ago |
 Strange Poncho del Pesado | 5.11 ref | 11d ago |
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 Strange Two Punch Mann | 5 ref | 12d ago |
 Genuine Sydney Straw Boat | 5.22 ref | 11d ago |
 Genuine First American | 5 ref | 11d ago |
 Strange Make Ogre | 5 ref | 11d ago |
 Aqua Summer 2013 Cooler | 5 ref | 20d ago |