This price has not changed since 2026-09-05 04:09 UTC. It reflects the last observed trade rather than current market value, and this page is excluded from our sitemap for that reason.
Community price on backpack.tf: 150 keys, last changed 2018-08-06 (8.2y ago). The live quote above, 10.9 keys, is 93% lower and last moved 1mo ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $373.83 — the lowest of one listing for the Molten Mallard effect when we looked on 2026-10-11 01:34 UTC (2d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 10 keys, 59.22 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Winter Woodsman”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
| Observed (UTC) | Sell | Buy |
|---|---|---|
| 25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC | 149 keys | 122 keys |
| 30 SEP 2025 · 21:21 UTC | 149 keys | 122 keys |
| 9 OCT 2025 · 09:01 UTC | 142 keys | 128 keys |
| 19 OCT 2025 · 20:49 UTC | 135 keys | 122 keys |
| 25 OCT 2025 · 17:13 UTC | 129 keys | 116 keys |
| 10 NOV 2025 · 01:13 UTC | 132 keys | 119 keys |
| 23 JUN 2026 · 07:14 UTC | 94.4 keys | 82.1 keys |
| 29 JUN 2026 · 01:14 UTC | 97.7 keys | 85.0 keys |
| 5 JUL 2026 · 23:12 UTC | 92.3 keys | 80.2 keys |
| 12 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC | 92.9 keys | 80.8 keys |
| 19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC | 96.8 keys | 84.2 keys |
| 29 JUL 2026 · 08:45 UTC | 101 keys | 87.5 keys |
| 3 AUG 2026 · 00:24 UTC | 104 keys | 90.1 keys |
| 10 AUG 2026 · 01:11 UTC | 105 keys | 90.9 keys |
| 20 AUG 2026 · 20:08 UTC | 10.4 keys | 9.01 keys |
| 21 AUG 2026 · 18:09 UTC | 57.4 keys | 49.9 keys |
| 22 AUG 2026 · 14:08 UTC | 57.5 keys | 50.0 keys |
| 27 AUG 2026 · 04:10 UTC | 60.9 keys | 53.0 keys |
| 29 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC | 94.8 keys | 82.4 keys |
| 3 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC | 60.6 keys | 52.7 keys |
| 5 SEP 2026 · 04:09 UTC | 10.9 keys | 9.50 keys |
Price history in numbers
21 readings since 25 Sep 2025The price has not been re-read inside the last 30 days. Over a year it ranged from 10.4 keys to 135 keys (down 91.9%). Today's 10.9 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 10.4 keys (20 Aug 2026) and the highest 149 keys (25 Sep 2025). The price has moved 20 times since we began recording it — about once every 17 days.
| Window | Low | High | Change | Moves | Readings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | 10.4 keys | 105 keys | −88.7% | 10 | 11 |
| a year | 10.4 keys | 135 keys | −91.9% | 17 | 18 |
Details
| SKU | 30549;5;u88 |
|---|---|
| Last price change | 2026-09-05 04:09 UTC |
| Key rate when recorded | 64.44 ref |
Same effect, other items
the effect across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 1,146 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 891 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 780 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 636 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 605 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 561 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 420 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 345 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 333 keys | 3mo ago | |
| 300 keys | 15d ago |
Other effects on the Winter Woodsman
same item, different effect| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 780 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 275 keys | 11mo ago | |
| 221 keys | 5mo ago | |
| 198 keys | 11d ago | |
| 171 keys | 12d ago | |
| 145 keys | 16d ago | |
| 143 keys | 12d ago | |
| 99.8 keys | 12d ago | |
| 81.9 keys | 12d ago | |
| 81.7 keys | 12d ago |
Priced similarly
across the catalogue| Item | Value | Updated |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2 keys | 13d ago | |
| 11.0 keys | 1mo ago | |
| 10.9 keys | 15d ago | |
| 11.4 keys | 12d ago | |
| 10.9 keys | 15d ago | |
| 11.1 keys | 13d ago | |
| 11.4 keys | 12d ago | |
| 10.9 keys | 2mo ago |