Community price on backpack.tf: 25.0–29.0 keys, last changed 2023-12-24 (2.8y ago). The live quote above, 26.5 keys, is inside the community’s range and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $69.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Orbiting Fire effect when we looked on 2026-10-11 01:34 UTC (2d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 26 keys, 29.11 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Winter Woodsman”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
80 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Orbiting Fire Winter Woodsman sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-07: 80 observations, from 30.3 keys to 10.5 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
30.3 keys
20.7 keys
18 OCT 2025 · 11:04 UTC
30.4 keys
19.7 keys
2 NOV 2025 · 16:06 UTC
29.0 keys
12.3 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 18:43 UTC
30.8 keys
20.2 keys
3 DEC 2025 · 10:55 UTC
33.1 keys
16.8 keys
15 DEC 2025 · 04:42 UTC
33.6 keys
7.71 keys
30 DEC 2025 · 06:52 UTC
33.6 keys
9.00 keys
11 JAN 2026 · 23:34 UTC
29.9 keys
12.1 keys
29 JAN 2026 · 01:44 UTC
28.5 keys
17.7 keys
8 FEB 2026 · 22:43 UTC
26.6 keys
16.4 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 22:41 UTC
23.4 keys
7.77 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 22:42 UTC
22.3 keys
12.9 keys
22 MAR 2026 · 22:07 UTC
23.0 keys
6.32 keys
12 APR 2026 · 22:30 UTC
22.6 keys
11.4 keys
29 APR 2026 · 00:31 UTC
21.6 keys
15.0 keys
10 MAY 2026 · 22:32 UTC
22.5 keys
16.1 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:31 UTC
22.3 keys
16.6 keys
22 JUN 2026 · 00:11 UTC
30.8 keys
7.72 keys
5 JUL 2026 · 23:12 UTC
14.6 keys
12.7 keys
5 AUG 2026 · 21:11 UTC
24.0 keys
13.5 keys
1 SEP 2026 · 02:09 UTC
10.4 keys
9.07 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 02:08 UTC
11.2 keys
9.71 keys
9 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC
26.3 keys
9.48 keys
10 SEP 2026 · 22:08 UTC
26.4 keys
9.53 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 18:08 UTC
23.4 keys
9.56 keys
15 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
11.1 keys
9.62 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
11.1 keys
9.64 keys
17 SEP 2026 · 10:09 UTC
26.8 keys
9.78 keys
19 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
11.2 keys
9.77 keys
20 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
11.2 keys
9.78 keys
21 SEP 2026 · 10:11 UTC
11.3 keys
9.86 keys
23 SEP 2026 · 22:11 UTC
11.3 keys
9.85 keys
26 SEP 2026 · 08:08 UTC
15.8 keys
13.7 keys
27 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
16.1 keys
14.0 keys
28 SEP 2026 · 20:08 UTC
27.0 keys
14.0 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 10:07 UTC
26.6 keys
13.9 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 10:08 UTC
26.5 keys
14.0 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 07:11 UTC
26.6 keys
14.3 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 19:09 UTC
16.9 keys
14.7 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 23:10 UTC
10.5 keys
9.15 keys
Price history in numbers
80 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Orbiting Fire Winter Woodsman's sell price ranged from 10.5 keys to 27.0 keys and is down 4.4% after 27 moves. Over a year it ranged from 10.4 keys to 36.1 keys (down 65.4%). Today's 10.5 keys sits at the bottom of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 10.4 keys (1 Sep 2026) and the highest 36.1 keys (23 Nov 2025). The price has moved 76 times since we began recording it — about once every 5 days.