Community price on backpack.tf: 20.0–30.0 keys, last changed 2021-06-01 (5.4y ago). The live quote above, 18.9 keys, is 5% lower and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $62.22 — the lowest of one listing for the Smoking effect when we looked on 2026-10-13 01:36 UTC (6h ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 18 keys, 58.66 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Cotton Head”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
58 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Smoking Cotton Head sell price, 2025-09-25 to 2026-10-09: 58 observations, from 31.3 keys to 19.8 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
25 SEP 2025 · 03:29 UTC
31.3 keys
16.5 keys
30 SEP 2025 · 21:01 UTC
31.3 keys
16.5 keys
19 OCT 2025 · 20:30 UTC
28.4 keys
16.5 keys
25 OCT 2025 · 16:51 UTC
27.1 keys
15.7 keys
19 NOV 2025 · 10:39 UTC
26.0 keys
15.6 keys
23 NOV 2025 · 22:41 UTC
28.0 keys
17.0 keys
8 DEC 2025 · 00:49 UTC
28.4 keys
17.9 keys
17 DEC 2025 · 20:43 UTC
28.8 keys
18.4 keys
29 DEC 2025 · 00:51 UTC
22.3 keys
18.6 keys
9 JAN 2026 · 13:40 UTC
27.9 keys
18.4 keys
22 JAN 2026 · 13:44 UTC
25.9 keys
17.3 keys
29 JAN 2026 · 01:44 UTC
25.6 keys
17.2 keys
8 FEB 2026 · 22:42 UTC
23.9 keys
16.3 keys
15 FEB 2026 · 22:40 UTC
25.6 keys
17.6 keys
22 FEB 2026 · 20:41 UTC
18.5 keys
16.5 keys
8 MAR 2026 · 12:42 UTC
23.7 keys
16.4 keys
15 MAR 2026 · 10:07 UTC
18.0 keys
16.2 keys
1 APR 2026 · 08:30 UTC
19.7 keys
11.4 keys
12 APR 2026 · 18:30 UTC
19.4 keys
11.3 keys
29 APR 2026 · 00:30 UTC
18.3 keys
15.2 keys
3 MAY 2026 · 22:30 UTC
18.1 keys
15.2 keys
17 MAY 2026 · 22:31 UTC
19.1 keys
16.9 keys
24 MAY 2026 · 22:30 UTC
19.0 keys
17.3 keys
9 JUN 2026 · 20:32 UTC
19.0 keys
17.3 keys
15 JUN 2026 · 18:11 UTC
18.8 keys
17.2 keys
30 JUN 2026 · 13:13 UTC
21.2 keys
18.4 keys
8 JUL 2026 · 20:44 UTC
20.0 keys
17.4 keys
16 JUL 2026 · 12:43 UTC
21.6 keys
18.8 keys
10 AUG 2026 · 01:11 UTC
16.8 keys
14.6 keys
19 AUG 2026 · 14:10 UTC
17.0 keys
14.8 keys
23 SEP 2026 · 18:10 UTC
18.6 keys
16.2 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 00:08 UTC
18.9 keys
16.4 keys
28 SEP 2026 · 18:08 UTC
19.1 keys
16.6 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 12:08 UTC
18.9 keys
16.4 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC
19.3 keys
16.7 keys
3 OCT 2026 · 07:11 UTC
19.4 keys
16.9 keys
4 OCT 2026 · 07:09 UTC
19.7 keys
17.1 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 09:09 UTC
19.4 keys
16.9 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 11:09 UTC
19.9 keys
17.3 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 05:09 UTC
19.8 keys
17.2 keys
Price history in numbers
58 readings since 25 Sep 2025
Over the last 30 days the Smoking Cotton Head's sell price ranged from 18.6 keys to 19.9 keys and is up 5.9% after 14 moves. Over a year it ranged from 16.3 keys to 28.8 keys (down 30.3%). Today's 19.8 keys sits in the lower third of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 16.3 keys (7 Aug 2026) and the highest 31.3 keys (25 Sep 2025). The price has moved 56 times since we began recording it — about once every 7 days.
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