Community price on backpack.tf: 38.0 keys, last changed 2026-05-06 (5mo ago). The live quote above, 28.7 keys, is 25% lower and last moved 12d ago. They are different measures: the quote is what traders and bots are asking and bidding on the classifieds right now, and it moves for thousands of items every day; the community price is a suggestion accepted by vote, which changes only when someone argues it should. A quote well away from the vote is usually a price that is about to be re-argued. Community prices from backpack.tf, read under an hour ago.
Steam Market asking price: $140.00 — the lowest of one listing for the Hard Carry effect when we looked on 2026-10-06 01:34 UTC (7d ago). This is what a seller is asking, not what anything sold for. Steam pays out in Steam wallet funds, not cash, and Valve takes roughly 15% at the till — so asking prices there run well above the 28 keys, 42.55 ref shown above, which comes from the keys-and-metal market on backpack.tf. The two are different markets and are never blended. Steam lists the item as “Unusual Flame Warrior”, with no effect in the name — the effect comes from the individual listing.
Price history
72 observations
Interactive chart. Press the left and right arrow keys to move along the series, Home or End to jump to either end, Escape to clear.
The key axis converts at today's rate. Prices are recorded in metal, so a line that is flat in keys followed the key rate rather than standing still.
Hard Carry Flame Warrior sell price, 2026-06-15 to 2026-10-09: 72 observations, from 34.9 keys to 33.4 keys. Sampled evenly across the range.
Observed (UTC)
Sell
Buy
15 JUN 2026 · 14:08 UTC
34.9 keys
31.4 keys
29 JUN 2026 · 01:14 UTC
30.6 keys
26.6 keys
12 JUL 2026 · 18:45 UTC
28.6 keys
24.8 keys
19 JUL 2026 · 22:44 UTC
32.0 keys
27.8 keys
7 AUG 2026 · 13:13 UTC
37.1 keys
32.3 keys
20 AUG 2026 · 20:08 UTC
30.6 keys
26.6 keys
23 AUG 2026 · 20:10 UTC
32.5 keys
28.3 keys
26 AUG 2026 · 08:09 UTC
34.0 keys
29.5 keys
28 AUG 2026 · 22:10 UTC
30.7 keys
26.7 keys
29 AUG 2026 · 10:10 UTC
32.2 keys
28.0 keys
30 AUG 2026 · 10:09 UTC
34.9 keys
30.3 keys
31 AUG 2026 · 14:09 UTC
35.7 keys
31.0 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
29.2 keys
25.4 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
29.2 keys
25.4 keys
2 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
29.2 keys
25.4 keys
4 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
29.0 keys
25.2 keys
5 SEP 2026 · 12:10 UTC
31.5 keys
27.4 keys
6 SEP 2026 · 20:09 UTC
31.1 keys
27.0 keys
11 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
31.5 keys
27.4 keys
12 SEP 2026 · 16:09 UTC
32.0 keys
27.8 keys
13 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
31.9 keys
27.8 keys
14 SEP 2026 · 16:08 UTC
26.3 keys
22.9 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 00:09 UTC
27.2 keys
23.7 keys
16 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
27.0 keys
23.5 keys
17 SEP 2026 · 10:10 UTC
27.0 keys
23.5 keys
18 SEP 2026 · 12:09 UTC
27.5 keys
23.9 keys
19 SEP 2026 · 14:08 UTC
27.7 keys
24.1 keys
25 SEP 2026 · 06:08 UTC
31.1 keys
27.1 keys
29 SEP 2026 · 04:08 UTC
32.4 keys
28.2 keys
30 SEP 2026 · 10:08 UTC
35.4 keys
30.8 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 12:09 UTC
31.9 keys
27.7 keys
1 OCT 2026 · 16:09 UTC
28.7 keys
25.0 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 04:09 UTC
34.3 keys
29.8 keys
2 OCT 2026 · 09:10 UTC
34.5 keys
30.0 keys
5 OCT 2026 · 19:10 UTC
36.4 keys
31.6 keys
7 OCT 2026 · 11:10 UTC
33.3 keys
29.0 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 13:09 UTC
32.6 keys
28.3 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 15:10 UTC
32.9 keys
28.6 keys
8 OCT 2026 · 21:10 UTC
33.0 keys
28.7 keys
9 OCT 2026 · 05:10 UTC
33.4 keys
29.1 keys
Price history in numbers
72 readings since 15 Jun 2026
Over the last 30 days the Hard Carry Flame Warrior's sell price ranged from 26.3 keys to 36.4 keys and is up 26.0% after 34 moves. Over a year it ranged from 26.3 keys to 37.1 keys (down 4.3%). Today's 33.4 keys sits in the middle of its range: the lowest we have recorded is 26.3 keys (14 Sep 2026) and the highest 37.1 keys (7 Aug 2026). The price has moved 70 times since we began recording it — about once every 2 days.